外部验证预后评分并比较对考虑行腹腔内脏器切除术和腹腔内化疗的结直肠癌腹膜转移患者的预测准确性。
External validation of prognostic scores and comparison of predictive accuracy for patients with colorectal cancer with peritoneal metastases considered for cytoreductive surgery and intraperitoneal chemotherapy.
发表日期:2023 Aug 21
作者:
Mathew A Kozman, Oliver M Fisher, Winston Liauw, David L Morris, Peter H Cashin
来源:
Best Pract Res Cl Ob
摘要:
为了方便选择惠及腹膜转移性结直肠癌(CRPM)患者接受巨大切除手术(CRS)±腹腔内化疗(IPC)治疗,制定了预后评分。其中三种突出的预后评分为腹膜表面疾病严重程度评分(PSDSS)、结直肠腹膜转移预后外科评分(COMPASS)和改良型结直肠-腹膜预后评分(mCOREP)。我们对这些评分进行了外部验证,并比较它们的预测准确性。使用1996年至2018年接受CRS/IPC治疗的连续CRPM患者的数据对COMPASS、PSDSS和mCOREP进行外部验证。分析评估了每个评分在预测以下方面的有效性:(1)开腹-关腹腹腔镜检查,在此过程中被发现不适合治愈性CRS/IPC的患者;(2)手术无效性-接受开腹-关腹腹腔镜检查、姑息性减灭切除术或总存活期不足12个月的患者;(3)总生存期和无复发生存期(OS、RFS)。预测评分计算了外部验证队列的174名患者。COMPASS在预测开腹-关腹腹腔镜检查、失败手术和生存(OS和RFS)方面最准确。开腹-关腹腹腔镜检查的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.78(95%置信区间CI: 0.68-0.87),代表有用的区分度。然而,失败性预测的AUC为0.62(95%CI: 0.52-0.71),OS的C统计量为0.65,仅表示可能有帮助的区分度。RFS的C统计量为0.59,表示区分度较差。尽管COMPASS表现出最佳的统计特性,但对于一些临床相关的结果,准确性仍然较低,因此在临床实践中的适用性有限。© 2023 部分作者。由Wiley Periodicals LLC出版的《外科肿瘤学杂志》发布。
Prognostic scores are developed to facilitate the selection of patients with colorectal cancer peritoneal metastases (CRPM) for treatment with cytoreductive surgery (CRS) ± intraperitoneal chemotherapy (IPC). Three prominent prognostic scores are the Peritoneal Surface Disease Severity Score (PSDSS), the Colorectal Peritoneal Metastases Prognostic Surgical Score (COMPASS), and the modified COloREctal-Pc (mCOREP). We externally validate these scores and compare their predictive accuracy.Data from consecutive CRPM patients who underwent CRS/IPC from 1996 to 2018 was used to externally validate COMPASS, PSDSS, and mCOREP. Analysis evaluated the efficacy of each score in predicting (1) open-close laparotomy-those found at laparotomy to not be eligible for curative intent CRS/IPC, (2) surgical futility-those who underwent open-close laparotomy, palliative debulking surgery, or had an overall survival of less than 12 months, and (3) overall and recurrence-free survival (OS, RFS).Prognostic scores were calculated for the 174-patient external validation cohort. COMPASS was most accurate in predicting open-close laparotomy, futile surgery, and survival (OS and RFS). Area under the curve (AUC) for open-close prediction was 0.78 (95% confidence interval, CI: 0.68-0.87), representing useful discrimination. However, AUC for futility prediction was 0.62 (95% CI: 0.52-0.71), and C-statistic for OS was 0.65 indicating only possibly helpful discrimination. C-statistic for RFS was 0.59 indicating poor discrimination.While COMPASS showed the best statistical behavior, accuracy for several clinically relevant outcomes remains low, and thus applicability to clinical practice limited.© 2023 The Authors. Journal of Surgical Oncology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.